Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.576956 0.679835 0.794111 0.930226 1.087697 1.263903 1.475765
2024-12-15 0.504870 0.655970 0.839094 1.076374 1.374602 1.735835 2.205261
2024-12-22 0.406052 0.578177 0.804388 1.121063 1.550137 2.108083 2.884789
2024-12-29 0.344082 0.533660 0.802226 1.205789 1.791074 2.602058 3.802027
2025-01-05 0.290096 0.488194 0.789521 1.273421 2.020934 3.118929 4.836361
2025-01-12 0.237813 0.433254 0.751658 1.296495 2.189904 3.575915 5.858675
2025-01-19 0.196605 0.386518 0.716829 1.316949 2.357483 4.055598 6.988366
2025-01-26 0.170905 0.360702 0.711411 1.384606 2.612595 4.710295 8.490566
2025-02-02 0.160326 0.360708 0.751582 1.539410 3.042177 5.713863 10.709792
2025-02-09 0.140593 0.337596 0.743547 1.602907 3.316844 6.486956 12.634783
2025-02-16 0.117301 0.300999 0.701150 1.591049 3.446595 7.015873 14.190729
2025-02-23 0.095454 0.261855 0.645020 1.539866 3.489239 7.385625 15.496340
2025-03-02 0.077500 0.227782 0.594098 1.493264 3.540624 7.793458 16.960161
2025-03-09 0.069972 0.218406 0.598517 1.572385 3.875250 8.817811 19.789700
2025-03-16 0.057596 0.192180 0.556080 1.533162 3.940535 9.293231 21.558175
2025-03-23 0.050711 0.179701 0.545879 1.570959 4.189993 10.196998 24.348186
2025-03-30 0.044563 0.167590 0.533949 1.602145 4.429183 11.110507 27.275240
2025-04-06 0.037964 0.151856 0.508140 1.591176 4.562098 11.799764 29.787310
2025-04-13 0.032632 0.138641 0.486530 1.587464 4.713181 12.551761 32.536853
2025-04-20 0.029638 0.132919 0.486635 1.646646 5.041477 13.774059 36.541265
2025-04-27 0.029258 0.137165 0.519812 1.811548 5.685594 15.856706 42.853592
2025-05-04 0.026663 0.131657 0.519376 1.872876 6.048481 17.271996 47.680024
2025-05-11 0.022894 0.119800 0.494135 1.850247 6.165895 18.068118 51.045329